DoJ approves Merger

OK, technically, they didn’t approve it, they choose not to oppose it, but to subscribers this may be a difference without a distinction.  Here’s the press release from Sirius.  http://investor.sirius.com/ReleaseDetail.cfm?ReleaseID=301291

SIRIUS Satellite Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI) and XM Satellite Radio (Nasdaq: XMSR) today announced that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has informed the companies that it has ended its investigation into the pending merger of SIRIUS and XM without taking action to block the transaction. This decision means the DOJ has concluded that the merger is not anti-competitive and it will allow the transaction to proceed. SIRIUS and XM each obtained stockholder approval in November 2007. The pending merger is still subject to approval of the Federal Communications Commission.

Here’s the DoJ’s spin…http://www.usdoj.gov/opa/pr/2008/March/08_at_226.html

The Division’s investigation indicated that the parties are not likely to compete with respect to many segments of the satellite radio business even in the absence of the merger. Because customers must acquire equipment that is specialized to the satellite radio service to which they subscribe, and which cannot receive the other provider’s signal, there has never been significant competition for customers who have already subscribed to one or the other service. For potential new subscribers, past competition has resulted in XM and Sirius entering long-term, sole-source contracts that provide incentives to all of the major auto manufacturers to install their radios in new vehicles. The car manufacturer channel accounts for a large and growing share of all satellite radio sales; yet, as a result of these contracts, there is not likely to be significant further competition between the parties for satellite radio equipment and service sold through this channel for many years. In the retail channel, where the parties likely would continue to compete to attract new subscribers absent the merger, the Division found that the evidence did not support defining a market limited to the two satellite radio firms that would exclude various alternative sources for audio entertainment, and similarly did not establish that the combined firm could profitably sustain an increased price to satellite radio consumers. Substantial cost savings likely to flow from the transaction also undermined any inference of competitive harm. Finally, the likely evolution of technology in the future, including the expected introduction in the next several years of mobile broadband Internet devices, made it even more unlikely that the transaction would harm consumers in the longer term. Accordingly, the Division has closed its investigation of the proposed merger.



Comments:

  1. http://money.cnn.com/?cnn=yes no link yet as its just occurred. I'm actually leaving work now thus the short blurb. But its almost over!
  2. BC-Sirius-XM-Merger,70
    Justice Department approves XM-Sirius radio deal
    Eds: APNewsNow. Moving on general news and financial services.
    WASHINGTON (AP) - The Justice Department has approved Sirius
    Satellite Radio's $5 billion buyout of rival XM Satellite Radio.
    The merger was approved despite opposition from consumer groups
    and an intense lobbying campaign by the land-based radio industry.
    Regulators said the merger is not likely to substantially hurt
    competition or consumers

    .

    (Copyright 2008 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)
  3. http://www.usdoj.gov/opa/pr/2008/March/08_at_226.html
  4. surprisingly little comment here. At XMfan they are up to 5 pages worth of comment, last I saw.
  5. That is cause the forum was down for 2+ hours
  6. As a consumer, I'm not happy about it... I can no longer choose which satellite radio company I want to listen to.

    But I did figure the merger would pass, so bought SIRI shares 2 weeks ago. I'm kind of happy on the financial front

    Note that we still have to see what the FCC decides. They can still say no to merging the two frequencies.
  7. OK, technically, they didn't approve it, they choose not to oppose it, but to subscribers this may be a difference without a distinction.* Here's the press release from Sirius.* <a href="http://investor.sirius.com/ReleaseDetail.cfm?ReleaseID=301291">http://investor.sirius.com/ReleaseDetail.cfm?ReleaseID=301291</a>
    <blockquote>SIRIUS Satellite Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI) and XM Satellite Radio (Nasdaq: XMSR) today announced that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has informed the companies that it has ended its investigation into the pending merger of SIRIUS and XM without taking action to block the transaction. This decision means the DOJ has concluded that the merger is not anti-competitive and it will allow the transaction to proceed. SIRIUS and XM each obtained stockholder approval in November 2007. The pending merger is still subject to approval of the Federal Communications Commission.</blockquote>
    Here's the DoJ's spin...http://www.usdoj.gov/opa/pr/2008/March/08_at_226.html
    <blockquote>The Division’s investigation indicated that the parties are <strong>not likely to compete</strong> with respect to many segments of the satellite radio business even in the absence of the merger. Because customers must acquire equipment that is specialized to the satellite radio service to which they subscribe, and which cannot receive the other provider’s signal, there <strong>has never been significant competition for customers</strong> who have already subscribed to one or the other service. For potential new subscribers, past competition has resulted in XM and Sirius entering long-term, sole-source contracts that provide incentives to all of the major auto manufacturers to install their radios in new vehicles. The car manufacturer channel accounts for a large and growing share of all satellite radio sales; yet, as a result of these contracts,<strong> there is not likely to be significant further competition between the parties for satellite radio equipment and service</strong> sold through this channel for many years. In the retail channel, where the parties likely would continue to compete to attract new subscribers absent the merger, the Division found that the evidence did not support defining a market limited to the two satellite radio firms that would exclude various alternative sources for audio entertainment, and similarly <strong>did not establish that the combined firm could profitably sustain an increased price</strong> to satellite radio consumers. Substantial cost savings likely to flow from the transaction also undermined any inference of competitive harm. Finally, the likely evolution of technology in the future, including the expected introduction in the next several years of mobile broadband Internet devices, made it even more unlikely that the transaction would harm consumers in the longer term. Accordingly, the Division has closed its investigation of the proposed merger.</blockquote>
  8. with no satellite radio we would be condemned to shitty, commercial-ridden, playlist, censored dreck. Now satellite radio will survive longer than it would have without any merger.
  9. I predict FCC approval tomorrow...
  10. I think it will turn out to be a good thing in the long run and in the short run will probably have little noticeable effects on current subscribers.

    I got Sirius for Howard and was pleasantly surprised by everything else that came with it. XM was never and still isn't an alternative I need to look into so I'm not worried about losing that "option".
  11. Quote:
    Originally Posted by RoadRunner View Post
    I predict FCC approval tomorrow...
    Unfortunately, I think we're going to see a condition that Sirius/XM must lease part of their bandwidth to Georgetown Partners... I don't want to see this, but I'm pretty sure it's going to happen.
  12. Being opposed to the merger for a long time I have a new perspective on this. If it truly means a more financially solid company for the future so that satellite can grow and flourish.

    Keep in mind for you youngins...the government broke up AT&T in the early 80's so if Sirius/XM were to get to big they could always break them up.

    Plus, as a HATER of commercial radio I think this will make them stronger if they take the correct approach.
  13. All I can say is it's about time
  14. as one normally hears it, not the other way around, but the point is well made that they chose not to oppose it rather than approve it, although the media keep using "approved" or "cleared"
  15. It looks its a great chance that the merger will be approved by the fcc because they never disapproved a merger approved by the department of justice
  16. I'm happy with the decision. Hopefully this will turn the stock around.
  17. Yes, it is about time. The process has been drawn out too long.

    Regards...JL
  18. I wonder if Howard Stern will have anything to say about this?
  19. what happens next?

    In terms of radio programing,etc.,,, when will we see any differences?
  20. Quote:
    Originally Posted by SCJoe View Post
    what happens next?

    In terms of radio programing,etc.,,, when will we see any differences?
    The deal still needs an OK from the FCC, since there are rule changes needed to make the merger make sense. As I said earlier in the thread, I'd expect that approval in the next day or 2. (But hey, I could be wrong! The FCC could announce they are unwilling to make the needed rule changes, or that they asked for concessions from Sirius and XM that the companies were unwilling to make.) Then the companies need to formally "close" the deal. Mel has said that will happen within 24 hours of regulatory approval. Then we wait...

    I'm sure lots of people at both companies have spent a lot of time thinking about what to do about the programming post-merger, but it will still take time to make staffing decisions, and then actually decide which of those ideas to implement. Mel K. didn't become famous for driving programming; I think he doesn't really care one way or the other. So (IMHO) he'll allow that process to happen with others making the final calls. If Mel is convinced that he can cut costs quickly and easily by reducing "redundent" channels, it will happen more quickly. If he thinks the synergies and cost-saving come elsewhere, it will get back-burnered.
  21. Quote:
    Originally Posted by RoadRunner View Post
    If Mel is convinced that he can cut costs quickly and easily by reducing "redundent" channels, it will happen more quickly. If he thinks the synergies and cost-saving come elsewhere, it will get back-burnered.
    Everything I've heard said over the last year points to this. Also, am I wrong or has Mel hinted at using DC rather than NY as a headquarters due to costs? Gonna be interesting to see how this all plays out. Way I look at it- Howard isn't going anywhere and I'll be in Jacksonville where Bubba broadcasts on FM so I'll be fine for at least 2-3 more years.
  22. Quote:
    Originally Posted by HomieG View Post
    Homie, I'm interested in your responses to the DoJ finding. I know (and respect) that you're a merger opponent, but did you find the DoJ explanation credible?

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by RoadRunner View Post
    If Mel is convinced that he can cut costs quickly and easily by reducing "redundent" channels, it will happen more quickly. If he thinks the synergies and cost-saving come elsewhere, it will get back-burnered.
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by badmotherfarker View Post
    Everything I've heard said over the last year points to this. Also, am I wrong or has Mel hinted at using DC rather than NY as a headquarters due to costs? Gonna be interesting to see how this all plays out. Way I look at it- Howard isn't going anywhere and I'll be in Jacksonville where Bubba broadcasts on FM so I'll be fine for at least 2-3 more years.
    Points at what, BMF? That it will happen quickly, or get back-burnered?
  23. They're still going to need to offer two totally different "products" because the equipment is different for both companies. I think it will be a long time before much changes on the music side. It will be interesting to see what happens with the Sports Packages.
  24. Quote:
    Originally Posted by RoadRunner View Post
    Points at what, BMF? That it will happen quickly, or get back-burnered?
    Everything I've heard is that step 1 is eliminating redundancy... channels, talent and corporate headquarters. That's pretty much par for course in most mergers.
  25. Quote:
    Originally Posted by RoadRunner View Post
    Homie, I'm interested in your responses to the DoJ finding. I know (and respect) that you're a merger opponent, but did you find the DoJ explanation credible?
    Hmmm, credible? Not quite sure how to explain this. I am still trying to digest a lot of the release, but so far I think I saw the DoJ's reasoning. One thing, though, stood out...that was the part about the receivers and them not being significant competition since one providers receiver could not receive the other providers signal.

    From the DoJ release:
    "Because customers must acquire equipment that is specialized to the satellite radio service to which they subscribe, and which cannot receive the other provider’s signal, there has never been significant competition for customers who have already subscribed to one or the other service."

    I thought that the original FCC decree's for SDARS required the licensees to do something about interoperable radios. Now perhaps there was a fine line where the FCC said they had to develop one, but not release it (i.e. sell it). Then there was Mel's comment during the past year about him having one, but them not wanting to sell them because it invited owners of that kind of radio to change to the other service. So when reading the DoJ release, it seemed to me that by Sirius and XM dragging their feet on selling interoperable radios, they enhanced their argument at the DoJ about this deal not being anti-competitive.

    I am also not convinced we've heard the end of this. Sure, the FCC can still deny the "merger" but I also believe that the DoJ decision can be appealed. Not sure if it will be, but given the high profile of this proposed "merger", I am also not sure an appeal is out of the question. In some ways it seems like the DoJ's release may have given some reasons and opened the door for anti-merger groups to argue other issues. For example, the DoJ release says:
    " The Division’s investigation identified the mass-market retail channel as an arena in which XM and Sirius would compete with one another for the foreseeable future. Both XM and Sirius devote substantial effort and expense to attracting subscribers in this arena, with both companies offering discounts, most commonly in the form of equipment rebates, to attract consumers. Retail channel sales have dropped significantly since 2005, and the parties contended that the decline was accelerating. However, retail outlets still account for a large portion of the firms’ sales, and the Division was unable to determine with any certainty that this channel would not continue to be important in the future."

    The DoJ appears here to recognize that XM and Sirius compete in the mass-market retail channel, and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future, even in light of accelerating decline in that area. They also recognized that it accounts for a large portion of their sales. It would be nice to see some quantification of "foreseeable future" and compare that to the real numbers for past "accelerating decline" and projections of that decline future. In other words, when does the competition in the retail space become something other than, well, competition?

    Finally, I came away thinking that some of the DoJ's release was double-speak. Now as I said earlier, I still want to digest it some more.

    I did have to laugh at DoJ stating "digital sound quality" like that meant something positive. I wish the FCC would order XM and Sirius to provide CD-like quality, or better yet, uncompressed-like quality. Now that would mean something good, heh, heh, heh!
  26. Quote:
    Originally Posted by PowercatRich View Post
    It will be interesting to see what happens with the Sports Packages.
    Please put Dale Jr.'s XM show on Sirius 128.

    That's all I ask.
  27. Maybe Sirius will now put "The Bridge" channel back on...
  28. Quote:
    Originally Posted by PowercatRich View Post
    They're still going to need to offer two totally different "products" because the equipment is different for both companies. I think it will be a long time before much changes on the music side. It will be interesting to see what happens with the Sports Packages.
    This is absolutely false and misleading. There is absolutely no reason that Sirius/XM couldn't immediately whack half of the programming and on air talent on the redundant streams and begin simulcasting a single channel for each of the decades and most of the genre streams. they could also begin consolidating their talk offerings seeing even further savings (and providing less content overall for us dual subs.)

    As BMF said there is also a lot of opportunity for consolidation at the corporate level and moving out of NYC would be a huge savings. It is also quite possible that there would be some other operational and technical savings.
  29. Maybe this will turn the stock round.

    ============================

    It already has on this announcement.

    Stock jumped up by .25 cents to $3.15 and should go higher when fcc approves.


    CASTRO DIDN'T GET ANY ACTION FROM MARILYN MONROE, SO HE KILLED JFK.

    DRILLBIT TAYLOR
  30. Quote:
    Originally Posted by dantodd View Post
    There is absolutely no reason that Sirius/XM couldn't immediately whack half of the programming and on air talent on the redundant streams and begin simulcasting a single channel for each of the decades and most of the genre streams.
    Well, technically there is absolutely one reason they cannot do this *immediately*. They've not received FCC approval. I'm just sayin'...
  31. haha. I thought is was clear that I meant immediately following approval, if it is (as seems inevitable) granted.

    And for the record it would take a quarter or so to see this really happen I only meant they could start the process immediately and it would likely be the first priority.
  32. As a consumer, I could less about the stock. I am concerned,
    1. SQ above all
    2. Content
    3. The FCC rules that they make the companies accept, i.e. censorship.

    Homie I too would love that they forced CD quality or no compression hehehehe. At least put a cap on the max channels they can use per stream.

    Interesting times ahead for sure. I put my billing to monthly so that I am not in any long term contract just in case.
  33. Sirius established a tentative merger plan in February 07.. Orbitcast published the info in the link below:

    http://www.orbitcast.com/archives/sa...erger-faq.html

    As far as when things get married together, there is no timeline:
    Quote:
    When will the companies merge their operating platforms/networks?
    No timeline has been set, however, we will seek to integrate the companies and technology platforms as quickly as possible, while supporting both Sirius and XM customers. We will be thoroughly evaluating all technology to ensure the best system for our customers is used going forward. Both companies are committed to ensuring the smoothest possible transition for customers who already have factory-installed satellite radio, and we do not anticipate any interruptions in service.

  34. I think this is a truly sad day for satellite radio. No matter how you slice it, I will not have the same choices once they actually merge that I have now. The only benifit is I will immediatly make my main XM radio on the family plan off my Sirius lifetime and save about $3 / month (I better be able to do this).

    If the FCC puts conditions like making the Georgetown Assholes part of the deal, I hope both XM & Sirius have to balls to walk away.
  35. Quote:
    Originally Posted by IdRatherBeSkiing View Post
    I think this is a truly sad day for satellite radio. No matter how you slice it, I will not have the same choices once they actually merge that I have now.
    You're right. However, each your your choices change (radios and channels). If you are referring to programming choices, then you will have MORE choices, provided they go with the ala-carte plan.
  36. SatRadioFan: For those of us with dual subs already there WILL be LESS choice. That is a fact.

    IdRatherBeSkiing: Don't bet that you can put an XM radio on your Sirius sub as a FnF discount.
  37. Quote:
    Originally Posted by SatRadioFan View Post
    You're right. However, each your your choices change (radios and channels). If you are referring to programming choices, then you will have MORE choices, provided they go with the ala-carte plan.

    No. I will have less. Right now I have all XM and all Sirius. Now 1/2 of the channels will be duplicated on each service. I lost 1/2 my choice. Oh they will squeeze 11 more channels on each (duplicates to dual subs of course) and either drop 11 current channels or cut the bandwidth. Its not like they have comatable services and they have said no radio will stop working.
  38. I hope this will mean that SIRIUS will have sound quality as good as XM and I can soon get NASCAR ch128 on my MYFIs. Thats the only thing I miss since I dropped SIRIUS and went back to XM a few weeks ago .
  39. Since the Sirius codec isn't changing the only chance of improved sound quality is the total number of sirius channels dropping, not likely. As for 128, since it is supported by the in car channels on race day I doubt it will be part of the "best of package" but that is certainly possible.
  40. Quote:
    Originally Posted by dantodd View Post
    Since the Sirius codec isn't changing the only chance of improved sound quality is the total number of sirius channels dropping, not likely. As for 128, since it is supported by the in car channels on race day I doubt it will be part of the "best of package" but that is certainly possible.

    Sports contracts will be premium with a-la-carte radios. The contracts would also need to be re-negotiated to make this possible.
  41. I am in hopes of being able to just add ch128 as the only SIRIUS channel but if I have to buy it as part of a package I will .The main thing I was after was to be able to use my MYFI ,have ch128 and sell all of my Stiletto 100 stuff
  42. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Gizmo View Post
    I am in hopes of being able to just add ch128 as the only SIRIUS channel but if I have to buy it as part of a package I will .The main thing I was after was to be able to use my MYFI ,have ch128 and sell all of my Stiletto 100 stuff

    I think that is almost 100% guarenteed not to happen. NASCAR would need to have its contract renegotiated (for more $). I think I also read that sports will not be included in the best of packages which is the only thing that would be made available on existing radios (for a price).
  43. I wouldn't think their would be to much negotiating since it would be all one radio ,where else could NASCAR go with only one Satallite co in the end . I found I missed the MYFI more than ch128 so I will deal with what ever they decide on offering
  44. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Gizmo View Post
    I wouldn't think their would be to much negotiating since it would be all one radio ,where else could NASCAR go with only one Satallite co in the end . I found I missed the MYFI more than ch128 so I will deal with what ever they decide on offering
    I think the issue is that since the listenership would be doubled, Sirus/XM would need to give them more money to go on the 'other half' of the company. This is based upon various statements by Mel and Gary on the subject.
  45. Quote:
    Originally Posted by badmotherfarker View Post
    Also, am I wrong or has Mel hinted at using DC rather than NY as a headquarters due to costs?
    I thought I read that the DC office was a shithole that threatened the stability of XM and would be cheaper to close than fix.
  46. Since I'm still getting use to Sirius and have almost no exposure to XM I like the fact my current monthly rate will not change till the original contract has expired.
  47. Quote:
    Originally Posted by IdRatherBeSkiing View Post
    I think the issue is that since the listenership would be doubled, Sirus/XM would need to give them more money to go on the 'other half' of the company. This is based upon various statements by Mel and Gary on the subject.
    The existing agreements between the leagues and the sat companies would become assets of the new merged company, and would have to be honored by both parties until they expired. There is little reason to believe that any of the sports leagues would be able to demand a lot of additional money after expiration of the existing agreements. Of course they could ask for anything they like, but that doesn't mean they will get it. With one satellite distribution company who are they gonna take their demands to if Sirius/XM turns them down. Satellite radio distribution revenue is free money for sports leagues. There is no way they are gonna throw it away because of this merger. Your being an alarmist. I know a lot of guys dislike the merger. Some have realistic possible reasons, but this isn't one of them.
  48. Honestly, XM or Sirius shouldn't agree to any stipulations to complete the merger... Give up 50% of your bandwidth? uuuuhhhh NO!! How about Clear Channel giving up 50% of the monopoly they built in the concert industry? Censor the channels? BULLSHIT!!!! There are plenty of channels that are censored... if you don't like it you can block the channels... I would give up all 6 of my sirius accounts if they did this... NO WAY THIS HAPPENS!!!
    The FCC has no right to change the way the company runs..either you let them merge or you don't..... no stipulations!!! Apparently the DOJ has no problem with the way it is run...
    SO F'OFF FCC!!!!
  49. Quote:
    Originally Posted by IdRatherBeSkiing View Post
    I think this is a truly sad day for satellite radio.
    Not necessarily. All car makers could offer the same receiver. That's a very good thing. If Sirius terminates my lifetime subscription. That's a very bad thing.
  50. I'm happy that the DOJ finally approved the merger. Now the FCC just need to say yes and I can finally have MLB and NHL back!

    I like to know, can I get XM stuff on my Stiletto 2? Because I don't care, if I have to buy a new unit to get both!
  51. This merger will have far more negative implications than just the merger of Sirius and XM. This, in essence, has opened up a can of worms. Today, March 24th, 2008 our government has once again let the American people down.
  52. Quote:
    Originally Posted by SISO View Post
    This merger will have far more negative implications than just the merger of Sirius and XM. This, in essence, has opened up a can of worms. Today, March 24th, 2008 our government has once again let the American people down.
    If they don't merge, there is not a clear path to profitability for either Sirius or XM.

    If they do merge, the path to profitability is at least possible.

    If you want satellite radio to continue beyond 2010, the merger is the only way. Without the merger, both Sirius and XM go broke and we all lose.
  53. Quote:
    Originally Posted by no1hedberg View Post
    The existing agreements between the leagues and the sat companies would become assets of the new merged company, and would have to be honored by both parties until they expired. There is little reason to believe that any of the sports leagues would be able to demand a lot of additional money after expiration of the existing agreements. Of course they could ask for anything they like, but that doesn't mean they will get it. With one satellite distribution company who are they gonna take their demands to if Sirius/XM turns them down. Satellite radio distribution revenue is free money for sports leagues. There is no way they are gonna throw it away because of this merger. Your being an alarmist. I know a lot of guys dislike the merger. Some have realistic possible reasons, but this isn't one of them.

    I did not say they would not honour their existing agreements. But their existing agreements do not allow for broadcast of MLB on the Sirius side or NFL on the XM side as examples. To do that they would need to re-negotiate the sports contracts.

    I am certainly not happy about the merger, but I think a lot of people are for the merger for reasons such as MLB on Sirius or NASCAR on XM which just will not happen in the short term.
  54. Quote:
    Originally Posted by WolfViper View Post
    I'm happy that the DOJ finally approved the merger. Now the FCC just need to say yes and I can finally have MLB and NHL back!

    I like to know, can I get XM stuff on my Stiletto 2? Because I don't care, if I have to buy a new unit to get both!

    You will need a new unit with combined chipsets.
  55. Quote:
    Originally Posted by SISO View Post
    our government has once again let the American people down.
    Did you steal that quote from Bill Clinton?
  56. Quote:
    Originally Posted by SISO View Post
    Today, March 24th, 2008 our government has once again let the American people down.
    Well, they'd hate to kill a streak.
  57. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Sirius_Rich View Post
    Did you steal that quote from Bill Clinton?
    Classic Rich avoiding the subject.


    Skyline-

    You make a fair enough point, however I have to disagree. Yes, perhaps one would have went out, leaving the other to quite possibly succeed. OR if one (or both) began to fail there could have been a larger company step in and buy Sirius or XM, which is what I think (in my non-professional business opinion) would have happened.

    There is no doubt that profitability is possible now, but at what price to the consumers? Not just monetary, but the plans these carriers have presented will I believe be at the least slightly confusing to the average consumer, and could present a turn off. It will be interesting to see how XM and Sirius go about this, if they handle it wrong it could be a huge blow.
  58. Quote:
    Originally Posted by SISO View Post
    This merger will have far more negative implications than just the merger of Sirius and XM. This, in essence, has opened up a can of worms. Today, March 24th, 2008 our government has once again let the American people down.
    Great.

    Get ready for a slow but steady introduction of commercials on the music channels now that one company has a stranglehold on sat radio. If you think it won't happen, you're living in a fantasy world. Mel Karmazin wanted more advertising on just Sirius alone (look at how bad the Howard channels are now, with a boatload of commercials) so now that they conned the DOJ into approving this, he will have free reign.

    What an awful decision this will be. What are these lawmakers thinking?
  59. Quote:
    Originally Posted by RoadRunner View Post
    If Mel is convinced that he can cut costs quickly and easily by reducing "redundent" channels, it will happen more quickly. If he thinks the synergies and cost-saving come elsewhere, it will get back-burnered.
    What channels do you think are redundant ? I find the music on the two services very different. This is bad news for us subscribers. We have lost choice when it comes to Satellite Radio.

    How long before Stern gets another stock payout for "subscriber goals" ?
  60. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Gizmo View Post
    I hope this will mean that SIRIUS will have sound quality as good as XM and I can soon get NASCAR ch128 on my MYFIs. Thats the only thing I miss since I dropped SIRIUS and went back to XM a few weeks ago .
    I wouldn't plan on receiving any Sirius channels on XM, and even if they do offer some I highly doubt the sports one will be done for free.
  61. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Skyline View Post
    If they don't merge, there is not a clear path to profitability for either Sirius or XM.

    If they do merge, the path to profitability is at least possible.

    If you want satellite radio to continue beyond 2010, the merger is the only way. Without the merger, both Sirius and XM go broke and we all lose.
    But both companies have said they don't need the merger to survive. They spent money like drunken sailor and now the government needs to dole out some corporate welfare and we the subs are the ones that will lose in the end.
  62. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Minqua View Post
    What channels do you think are redundant ? I find the music on the two services very different. This is bad news for us subscribers. We have lost choice when it comes to Satellite Radio.
    I'm with you, Minqua. I don't find any of the (music) channels redundent; that's why I'm a dual-sub! But Mel has said there are a number of (paraphrasing here) "...essentially redundent..." stations. I'd suspect that the decade channels would be in that list, as well as the classic rockers (Classic Vinyl, Classic Rewind, The Vault v. Top Tracks, Big Tracks, Deep Tracks) as well as the most-popular niches (AltNation v. Ethel(?); Hits1 v. 20; Hard Attack v. XMLM; etc). Then there are the actual redundants, like Fox News.
  63. I'm worried that I am going to end up paying more for less. There will probably be some sort of plan system where you get to pick the shows you want. I like the freedom to listen to everything on the dial for one price. Howard will more that likely end up on some premimum plan that we have to pay extra for.
  64. Quote:
    Originally Posted by jam master jay View Post
    Great.

    Get ready for a slow but steady introduction of commercials on the music channels now that one company has a stranglehold on sat radio. If you think it won't happen, you're living in a fantasy world. Mel Karmazin wanted more advertising on just Sirius alone (look at how bad the Howard channels are now, with a boatload of commercials) so now that they conned the DOJ into approving this, he will have free reign.

    What an awful decision this will be. What are these lawmakers thinking?
    The sky is falling, the sky is falling! The minute they put commercials on the music channels, is the same minute people start to cancel. It is your right to cancel at any time. It is a PAY service! Howard's show still has the same amount of commercials that it had when he started on Sirius.......roughly 8 minutes.
  65. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Minqua View Post
    What channels do you think are redundant ? I find the music on the two services very different. This is bad news for us subscribers. We have lost choice when it comes to Satellite Radio.

    How long before Stern gets another stock payout for "subscriber goals" ?
    Mel doesn't listen to the music channels. A lot of stations look redundant on paper, but are really different. Mel would never understand this, or maybe not care.
  66. Quote:
    Originally Posted by dantodd View Post
    SatRadioFan: For those of us with dual subs already there WILL be LESS choice. That is a fact.
    Unless you know, with 100% certainty, what will happen in terms of hardware and programming choices (ala-carte verses how it is now) you may have less or you may have more choices. If you think you know, with 100% certainty, right now then you are a complete idiot. I'm sorry if you are offended by that comment but NOBODY knows if there will be more or less choices. It is very probable that you will have more choices. All they need to do is create several tier-packages and you will have more choices; it is as easy as that (as long as they don't eliminate receivers).
  67. well, it easily looks like this will be the time to mark the beginning of the end. Since when has ANY merger been good for the consumer? Now where can we go for commercial free music, major league sports and major talk radio names that one can receive almost anywhere in the country, besides SiriusXm?
    Wifi is limited to major cities, and is still shakey at best. iPod and other technology doesn't have any live content, so isn't applicable. HDRadio? don't they have commercials, censored music and no big names/sports?
    There is NO competition here...
  68. Quote:
    Originally Posted by loadfet17 View Post
    The sky is falling, the sky is falling! The minute they put commercials on the music channels, is the same minute people start to cancel. It is your right to cancel at any time. It is a PAY service! Howard's show still has the same amount of commercials that it had when he started on Sirius.......roughly 8 minutes.
    Jam Master Jay has been beating that drum for a while. He forgets the "A boy who cries wolf is eventually ignored" adage trumps "a lie told often enough becomes the truth". I'm hoping he gets bit on the ass and goes away.
  69. I suspect that Sirius programming will get preferential treatment when it comes to making decisions between XM or Sirius. The reasons are this, even though XM has more subscribers, it could be argued that it's because of the agressive distribution that happened through GM and not because of customer preferences that the lead was established. The 2nd reason is that Mel is in charge and is likely to be biased towards Sirius content when it comes to making the decisions.

    I know change is coming, but I think the whole merger is the right thing for the health and survival of the industry. Money losing industries eventially make drastic changes to survive, and this is probably the best possible change of all the alternatives.
  70. My biggest fear with the merger is that programming costs will go up for subscribers. Now I pay $12,99 a month for everything. I fear with the merger they will beacome like cable or Direct TV where you pay a flat rate to get say music channels but other tiers are extra. This would having to pay extra for football, ESPN, hockey etc. if I wanted those. So thet $12.99 for everything now becomes say $25 a month.
  71. My only area of concern is in the area of play-by-play programming and how that will be treated once the merger is approved.

    I can live with one of each platform's decade channels, but I really am looking for a way to get both platform's play-by-play programming on one subscription service.
  72. Quote:
    Originally Posted by odubum View Post
    My biggest fear with the merger is that programming costs will go up for subscribers. Now I pay $12,99 a month for everything. I fear with the merger they will beacome like cable or Direct TV where you pay a flat rate to get say music channels but other tiers are extra. This would having to pay extra for football, ESPN, hockey etc. if I wanted those. So thet $12.99 for everything now becomes say $25 a month.
    It has been expressly stated that for now and the immediate future, you will not pay more for what you presently have. In other words, Sirius customers will get Sirius's programming for 12.99/mo and XM will get XM's programming for 12.99/mo. What remains to be seen is what "redundant" programming will be consolidated between the two and what Sirius/XM only programming will be offered to XM/Sirius subscribers.
  73. Quote:
    Originally Posted by derek1079 View Post
    Mel doesn't listen to the music channels. A lot of stations look redundant on paper, but are really different. Mel would never understand this, or maybe not care.
    Quoted for truth!
  74. Quote:
    Originally Posted by RoadRunner View Post
    Quoted for truth!
    Even in terms of the reggae stations. They have such a different music catalog that they play completely different, for the most part, songs. I can't wait to get the catalog of XM and Sirius "under one roof".
  75. Quote:
    Originally Posted by SatRadioFan View Post
    Unless you know, with 100% certainty, what will happen in terms of hardware and programming choices (ala-carte verses how it is now) you may have less or you may have more choices. If you think you know, with 100% certainty, right now then you are a complete idiot. I'm sorry if you are offended by that comment but NOBODY knows if there will be more or less choices. It is very probable that you will have more choices. All they need to do is create several tier-packages and you will have more choices; it is as easy as that (as long as they don't eliminate receivers).
    Here is what we know based upon Mels yabbering:

    1. Current receivers cannot receive the other's signal.
    2. Current receivers cannot support a-la-carte
    3. They will remove redundant channels.

    So if I have 1 XM tuner and 1 Sirius tuner, I know the XM will only recieve XM choices, Sirius will only receive the Sirius. We can assume that, for example, the XM8 and Sirius 8 will be merged and duplicated on both services based upon #3. For an individual subscriber, there is no change to available content. You still get a channel 8. For a dual sub you had a choice of 2 80s channels (which do sound completely different) and have left a choice of 1. 1/2 of my choice has disappeared.

    Should Mel come back and change his tune, then one can assume we would have 'more' choices with a dual mode radio. Until then .... dual subs have 1/2 the choice we have right now.
  76. So basically I'm going to get screwed. They're going to remove "redundant" channels, and I won't be able to pick up the others... well, maybe a reason to get rid of that $hitty Sportster4 they sent out here when my old one broke.

    I can't believe they're letting this go through. The price for satellite radio will go up, the quality of the service will go down, and this is basically going to be the end of it right here. I never liked XM's selection of music and I can't bear to think I'm going to lose some of my stations for that crap.
  77. Quote:
    Originally Posted by NT7 View Post
    So basically I'm going to get screwed. They're going to remove "redundant" channels, and I won't be able to pick up the others... well, maybe a reason to get rid of that Sportster4 they sent out here when my old one broke.

    I can't believe they're letting this go through. The price for satellite radio will go up, the quality of the service will go down, and this is basically going to be the end of it right here. I never liked XM's selection of music and I can't bear to think I'm going to lose some of my stations for that crap.
    "remove" means they will replace one with the other. You will get a 80s decades channel on channel 8 on both systems, it will just be the same one.
  78. Quote:
    Originally Posted by IdRatherBeSkiing View Post
    "remove" means they will replace one with the other. You will get a 80s decades channel on channel 8 on both systems, it will just be the same one.
    IMO that's what they probably will do, and you will have the same number of channels. But if you are a dual subscriber, instead of getting 140 Sirius and 170 XM channels (310 total channels), after replacing the duplicates you might only be getting a total of 250 different channels.

    From a customer standpoint it's not as good, but from a business standpoint, one of the values of a merger is consolidating operations, which saves money.
  79. Quote:
    Originally Posted by odubum View Post
    My biggest fear with the merger is that programming costs will go up for subscribers. Now I pay $12,99 a month for everything. I fear with the merger they will beacome like cable or Direct TV where you pay a flat rate to get say music channels but other tiers are extra. This would having to pay extra for football, ESPN, hockey etc. if I wanted those. So thet $12.99 for everything now becomes say $25 a month.
    ANd how long would you stay subscribed at $25 a month?

    I think the opposite is true. The FCC chairman will use this merger as a way to try and force cable and sat TV to do a-la-carte type of offerings as they've tried to push in the past.

    I think people are getting worked up a little prematurely. They have to maintain a viable product and most of the fears I've read so far wouldn't promote that.

    Also, didn't Mel say something like he was leaving the programming decisions to the ones that make those decisions?
  80. Quote:
    Originally Posted by metrofan View Post
    IMO that's what they probably will do, and you will have the same number of channels. But if you are a dual subscriber, instead of getting 140 Sirius and 170 XM channels (310 total channels), after replacing the duplicates you might only be getting a total of 250 different channels.

    From a customer standpoint it's not as good, but from a business standpoint, one of the values of a merger is consolidating operations, which saves money.
    Exactly.
  81. Quote:
    Originally Posted by NT7 View Post
    So basically I'm going to get screwed. They're going to remove "redundant" channels, and I won't be able to pick up the others... well, maybe a reason to get rid of that Sportster4 they sent out here when my old one broke.

    I can't believe they're letting this go through. The price for satellite radio will go up, the quality of the service will go down, and this is basically going to be the end of it right here. I never liked XM's selection of music and I can't bear to think I'm going to lose some of my stations for that crap.
    Man, are you huffing gas fumes? I can't believe people are still trying to sell this point of view. WHAT YOU HAVE NOW IS $12.99.

    If you don't change anything, then nothing will change.

    The end.
  82. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Minqua View Post
    I wouldn't plan on receiving any Sirius channels on XM, and even if they do offer some I highly doubt the sports one will be done for free.
    I guess they changed how they said it would be done last year then . I am sure some existing channels from both will be dropped in order to combine the two . It was said that SIRIUS would receive XM channels some how and send it out with their channels so every one with SIRIUS radios could receive both brands for now so no one would have to have a new radio right away and XM would do the same so their customers would have plenty of time to make use of the new purchases their customers have also made . Naturally you will have to choose what channels you get and pay for them accordingly but the whole idea was so no one needed to buy new radios for a while
  83. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Gizmo View Post
    I guess they changed how they said it would be done last year then . I am sure some existing channels from both will be dropped in order to combine the two . It was said that SIRIUS would receive XM channels some how and send it out with their channels so every one with SIRIUS radios could receive both brands for now so no one would have to have a new radio right away and XM would do the same so their customers would have plenty of time to make use of the new purchases their customers have also made . Naturally you will have to choose what channels you get and pay for them accordingly but the whole idea was so no one needed to buy new radios for a while
    You are confusing what was said.

    They have said that existing radios will continue to work. Existing radios will be able to receive select 'best of' of the other service (approx 10 channels) for a modest $4 extra / month. No mention of how they will fit those 10 into the bandwidth. NEW RADIOs will have the a-la-carte options NOT EXISTING RADIOS. If you have an existing Sirius radio, it will continue to receive Sirius content but NOT XM except the best of XM if you opt for the $4 more / month.
  84. I'm a Sirius lifetime subscriber. The only thing I can think of that I care about from XM would be Major League Baseball.

    I've kind of leafed around siriusmerger.com and found their pricing model, but I'm not sure if that's out-of-date now or not. Can anyone more knowledgeable on this subject than I let me know how much I should expect to pay per month during baseball season for that additional programing package?

    Thanks in advance.
  85. This is the official mascot of this thread:


  86. My guess programming wise is that similar channels like Squizz and Octane, and 80s on 8 and The big 80s, only one of them will survive, and the survivor will be simulcast on BOTH services. Right there they have eliminated two channels worth of staff, which isn't limited to just the air staff, but also the Program Directors and Music Directors. So someday soon Spa 73 listeners will wake to find an XM Audiovisions simulcast in its place.

    I think those that enjoy the non-duplicated niche channels on each service are probably the ones that should worry the least. Those who like rock, pop, and Alternative should worry the most. To me Alt Nation and Ethel are very different. But their genre on paper looks the same.
  87. Why is no one talking about comercials on the music channels? thats my bigges fear is that sooner than later we will start to hear comercials on hits 1, the 90's, faction, and what not. i too am very displeased with the merger, we the consumers WILL end up on the losing end. btw is there anywhere where they keep up with the channel ratings? like who listens to what channle and which channels or more popular? jw
  88. Quote:
    Originally Posted by stoner99 View Post
    Why is no one talking about comercials on the music channels? thats my bigges fear is that sooner than later we will start to hear comercials on hits 1, the 90's, faction, and what not. i too am very displeased with the merger, we the consumers WILL end up on the losing end. btw is there anywhere where they keep up with the channel ratings? like who listens to what channle and which channels or more popular? jw
    I don't think this will happen. Mel realizes how big a draw this is, probably one of the biggest, of satrad.
  89. Quote:
    Originally Posted by stoner99 View Post
    Why is no one talking about comercials on the music channels? thats my bigges fear is that sooner than later we will start to hear comercials on hits 1, the 90's, faction, and what not. i too am very displeased with the merger, we the consumers WILL end up on the losing end. btw is there anywhere where they keep up with the channel ratings? like who listens to what channle and which channels or more popular? jw
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by IdRatherBeSkiing View Post
    I don't think this will happen. Mel realizes how big a draw this is, probably one of the biggest, of satrad.
    Agreed. We're not talking about it because it's unlikely. When the "King of All Ad Salesmen" says he doesn't want ads on the music channels, it's not because he doesn't love selling ads, it's because he's knows that it would be the end of the medium.
  90. Quote:
    Originally Posted by stoner99 View Post
    Why is no one talking about comercials on the music channels? thats my bigges fear is that sooner than later we will start to hear comercials on hits 1, the 90's, faction, and what not. i too am very displeased with the merger, we the consumers WILL end up on the losing end. btw is there anywhere where they keep up with the channel ratings? like who listens to what channle and which channels or more popular? jw
    Satellite radio needs to attract subscribers, they don't want to do anything to cause current subscribers to depart. If they'd add commercials, people are going to depart. People won't stand for paying for something that has commercials. Because why would a person pay for radio with commercials, when they can get the same from their local terrestrial channels for free?

    The only way they could make commercials on music channels fly is if they lowered people's monthly rates.

    An area where I think the merged company could possibly see an increase in revenue is through getting more mainstream companies to advertise during the various sports & news talk channels. There's no reason they shouldn't have mainstream companies sponsoring mainstream sports broadcasts (NFL, MLB, NASCAR, College Sports, etc.) instead of the endless promos and radio-spam commercials we hear. Maybe the image of being a merged company well help along those lines.
  91. Quote:
    Originally Posted by NHTracker View Post
    My guess programming wise is that similar channels like Squizz and Octane,
    Squizz and Octane are nothing alike. Octane as a channel is everything that is wrong with Sirius. Very shallow playlist, & mega repeats. We are losing our choice, well not entirely. We are going from a choice of either XM or Sirius, to a choice of keeping it or canceling it.
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by RoadRunner View Post
    Agreed. We're not talking about it because it's unlikely. When the "King of All Ad Salesmen" says he doesn't want ads on the music channels, it's not because he doesn't love selling ads, it's because he's knows that it would be the end of the medium.
    I agree with everything but the part that he doesn't want ads on the music channels. I think he would love to put ads on the channels, but he knows it will be suicide. He wishes he could get away with it.
  92. the tranny that made sat radio , told stern that the power of the sat got cut in half when he/she had to split the company . now i hope they will kill all of xm's or sirus sats and put all the power in to one companys sat . witch should make the sound better and room for more channel.
    plus the music catalog can be combind .
  93. Quote:
    Originally Posted by pbgr9 View Post
    the tranny that made sat radio , told stern that the power of the sat got cut in half when he/she had to split the company . now i hope they will kill all of xm's or sirus sats and put all the power in to one companys sat . witch should make the sound better and room for more channel.
    plus the music catalog can be combind .
    say what?
  94. dualsub33
    if you listen to stern .he had the creator of sat radio on, and this person said we could have a better single ,if there was one company.right now the frequency they send out had to be split between the two companys witch cut the power of each sat in half.
  95. Quote:
    Originally Posted by JoeTan View Post
    If you don't change anything, then nothing will change.
    You are wrong as is almost always the case.

    While existing Sirius and XM radios will continue to work, there is no assurance that all the stations will remain on both services. In fact, to add the 11 channel "best of" service we will either lose channels or SQ will go down, it MUST be one of the two.

    Additionally, even if you don't believe this to be the case merging of programming staff will almost certainly dramatically change the texture of some or many of the channels, this too, is a change.

    If you don't change anything your service will change.
  96. Quote:
    Originally Posted by pbgr9 View Post
    dualsub33
    if you listen to stern .he had the creator of sat radio on, and this person said we could have a better single ,if there was one company.right now the frequency they send out had to be split between the two companys witch cut the power of each sat in half.

  97. Quote:
    Originally Posted by pbgr9 View Post
    dualsub33
    if you listen to stern .he had the creator of sat radio on, and this person said we could have a better single ,if there was one company.right now the frequency they send out had to be split between the two companys witch cut the power of each sat in half.

    Huh!?


  98. Never mind . . .
  99. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Minqua View Post
    I agree with everything but the part that he doesn't want ads on the music channels. I think he would love to put ads on the channels, but he knows it will be suicide. He wishes he could get away with it.
    That's what I was trying to say. I should have said: When the "King of All Ad Salesmen" says he won't put ads on the music channels, it's not because he doesn't love selling ads, it's because he's knows that it would be the end of the medium.
  100. Quote:
    Originally Posted by pbgr9 View Post
    the tranny that made sat radio , told stern that the power of the sat got cut in half when he/she had to split the company . now i hope they will kill all of xm's or sirus sats and put all the power in to one companys sat . witch should make the sound better and room for more channel.
    plus the music catalog can be combind .
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by dualsub33 View Post
    say what?
    What he is saying is that the companies should combine the bandwidth and get rid of one set of technology. It would give space for more channels and better sound quality, but we all know that they said the current radios will continue to work for the life of the sats, which is around 10 years.
  101. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Minqua View Post
    What he is saying is that the companies should combine the bandwidth and get rid of one set of technology. It would give space for more channels and better sound quality, but we all know that they said the current radios will continue to work for the life of the sats, which is around 10 years.

    Nah . . . I'm pretty sure he's saying that a witch screwed up the tranny in his boat so now he gets no power to the stern and the sound quality of his room is cut down when he's trying to channel his combine.

    Poor guy, those witches can be brutal.
  102. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Minqua View Post
    Squizz and Octane are nothing alike. Octane as a channel is everything that is wrong with Sirius. Very shallow playlist, & mega repeats. We are losing our choice, well not entirely. We are going from a choice of either XM or Sirius, to a choice of keeping it or canceling it.
    OK...... so.........

    If they combined the two, and made Squawctane, and this channel combined the playlists of Octane and Squizz, that playlist would be the sum of the parts, which is, at the very least, as deep as Squizz's, possibly deeper. And that is bad... why?
  103. Quote:
    Originally Posted by pbgr9 View Post
    the tranny that made sat radio , told stern that the power of the sat got cut in half when he/she had to split the company . now i hope they will kill all of xm's or sirus sats and put all the power in to one companys sat . witch should make the sound better and room for more channel.
    plus the music catalog can be combind .
    This makes no sense. It would also be a huge waste of 3 or 4 perfectly good sats. Regardless of power, the bandwitdh remains the same.

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by pbgr9 View Post
    dualsub33
    if you listen to stern .he had the creator of sat radio on, and this person said we could have a better single ,if there was one company.right now the frequency they send out had to be split between the two companys witch cut the power of each sat in half.
    Again, little sense. Are you sure this wasn't some sort of comedy bit Stern was running? Did you perhaps remember the name of this alleged creater of satrad?

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Minqua View Post
    What he is saying is that the companies should combine the bandwidth and get rid of one set of technology. It would give space for more channels and better sound quality, but we all know that they said the current radios will continue to work for the life of the sats, which is around 10 years.
    That would work except they have explicity said they will not do this. "All current radios will continue to work after the merger".
  104. Quote:
    Originally Posted by IdRatherBeSkiing View Post
    Again, little sense. Are you sure this wasn't some sort of comedy bit Stern was running? Did you perhaps remember the name of this alleged creater of satrad?
    Actually, he was not making up that part. One of originators of sat radio, credited with the launch of the "the first non-geostationary satellite-to-car broadcasting system" is a post-op transsexual - Martine_Rothblatt - and has been a guest on a few Sirius shows.
  105. Quote:
    Originally Posted by ClubSteeler View Post
    If they combined the two, and made Squawctane, and this channel combined the playlists of Octane and Squizz, that playlist would be the sum of the parts, which is, at the very least, as deep as Squizz's, possibly deeper. And that is bad... why?
    1) Because it is just as likely that the playlist will be as shallow as Octane AND as obscure as Squizz. The worst instead of best of both worlds. (Truth is probably somewhere in the middle)

    2) Because then I'll not have the chance to listen to both channels when the mood hits. I will only have ONE option.
  106. Better than NO options, like both went out of business because they couldn't merge and never earned any money.